CausaLab: A Scalable Environment for Interactive Causal Discovery Toward AI Scientists
Junlin Yang ⋅ Dylan Zhang ⋅ Xiangchen Song ⋅ Qirun Dai ⋅ Xiao Liu ⋅ Yuen Chen ⋅ Aniket Vashishtha ⋅ Jing Shi ⋅ Chenhao Tan ⋅ Hao Peng
Abstract
We introduce CausaLab, a scalable environment for evaluating interactive causal discovery by LLM agents. Unlike prior evaluations, CausaLab evaluates both whether an agent can solve a problem using causal evidence and whether its answer is grounded in a faithful recovered causal mechanism. Each episode places an agent in a synthetic laboratory: it receives prior measurement records, intervenes on a manipulator crystal, and predicts the resonance frequency of a held-out reactor crystal governed by the same mechanism. The hidden data-generating process is a randomly sampled structural causal model (SCM), so success requires recovering both a causal graph and structural equations rather than recalling prior knowledge. Experiments show a persistent gap between prediction and mechanism recovery: in the purely observational 6-node setting, GPT-5.2-high reaches 92% task accuracy but only 0.471 all-edge $F_1$. Mixed observation-intervention strategies improve structural fidelity, while pure intervention remains difficult even for strong agents. We identify premature stopping as a major weakness and show that consistency verification mitigates it. Classical baselines and a matched-budget intervention control confirm the environment carries sufficient signal for full recovery, so agent shortfalls measure experiment-design and inference ability. CausaLab therefore separates predictive success from causal understanding and exposes current LLM agents' limits as experimental causal reasoners.
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