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Poster

Identifying spatio-temporal relations between anomalies and extreme events

Mohamad Hakam Shams Eddin · Jürgen Gall

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Wed 11 Dec 4:30 p.m. PST — 7:30 p.m. PST

Abstract:

The spatio-temporal relations of anomalies in climate data and extreme events are not fully understood and there is a need of machine learning approaches to identify such spatio-temporal relations from data. The task, however, is very challenging since there are time delays between anomalies and extremes, and the spatial response of anomalous events is inhomogeneous. In this work, we propose a first approach and benchmarks to tackle this challenge. Our approach is trained end-to-end to predict spatio-temporally extremes and spatio-temporally anomalies in the physical input variables jointly. By enforcing the network to predict extremes from spatio-temporal binary masks of identified anomalies, the network successfully identifies anomalies that are correlated with extremes. We evaluate our approach on three newly created synthetic benchmarks where two of them are based on remote sensing or reanalysis climate data and on two real-world reanalysis datasets. The source code and datasets will be made publicly available upon publication.

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