Skip to yearly menu bar Skip to main content


Poster

Variational Gaussian Process State-Space Models

Roger Frigola · Yutian Chen · Carl Edward Rasmussen

Level 2, room 210D

Abstract:

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse Gaussian processes. The result of learning is a tractable posterior over nonlinear dynamical systems. In comparison to conventional parametric models, we offer the possibility to straightforwardly trade off model capacity and computational cost whilst avoiding overfitting. Our main algorithm uses a hybrid inference approach combining variational Bayes and sequential Monte Carlo. We also present stochastic variational inference and online learning approaches for fast learning with long time series.

Live content is unavailable. Log in and register to view live content