What Comes Next and Why: Interpretable Next-Event Prediction with Neuro-Symbolic Rules

In real-world applications, being able to explain why a prediction is made is often as important—if not more so—than achieving high accuracy. However, existing methods for sequential event prediction typically prioritize accuracy at the expense of interpretability. Neuro-symbolic approaches offer a promising direction to improve interpretability by learning symbolic rules, but extending them to next-event prediction is challenging due to the presence of temporal dependencies. We introduce RULES, a neuro-symbolic model that learns sequential rules directly from data, and combine it with a residual network to form RUNES (Rule Network for Event Sequences). RULES accurately recovers ground-truth rules from synthetic data and discovers compact, interpretable rule sets on real data. RUNES combines these rules additively with a residual network, achieving competitive accuracy while providing transparent access to active rules and how residuals adjust predictions.