Two-Step Bayesian PINNs for Uncertainty Estimation
Pablo Flores · Olga Graf · Pavlos Protopapas · Karim Pichara
Keywords:
Physics Informed Neural Networks
Fermentation
differential equations
Cosmology
uncertainty quantification
Inverse Problem
Abstract
We use a two-step procedure to train Bayesian neural networks that provide uncertainties over the solutions to differential equation (DE) systems provided by Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). We take advantage of available error bounds over PINNs to formulate a heteroscedastic variance that improves the uncertainty estimation. Furthermore, we solve forward problems and utilize the uncertainties obtained to improve parameter estimation in inverse problems in the fields of cosmology and fermentation.
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