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Workshop: Consequential Decisions in Dynamic Environments

Niki Kilbertus, Angela Zhou, Ashia Wilson, John Miller, Lily Hu, Lydia T. Liu, Nathan Kallus, Shira Mitchell

Sat, Dec 12th, 2020 @ 16:00 – 23:50 GMT
Abstract: Machine learning is rapidly becoming an integral component of sociotechnical systems. Predictions are increasingly used to grant beneficial resources or withhold opportunities, and the consequences of such decisions induce complex social dynamics by changing agent outcomes and prompting individuals to proactively respond to decision rules. This introduces challenges for standard machine learning methodology. Static measurements and training sets poorly capture the complexity of dynamic interactions between algorithms and humans. Strategic adaptation to decision rules can render statistical regularities obsolete. Correlations momentarily observed in data may not be robust enough to support interventions for long-term welfaremits of traditional, static approaches to decision-making, researchers in fields ranging from public policy to computer science to economics have recently begun to view consequential decision-making through a dynamic lens. This workshop will confront the use of machine learning to make consequential decisions in dynamic environments. Work in this area sits at the nexus of several different fields, and the workshop will provide an opportunity to better understand and synthesize social and technical perspectives on these issues and catalyze conversations between researchers and practitioners working across these diverse areas.

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Schedule

16:00 – 16:10 GMT
Welcome and introduction
16:10 – 16:30 GMT
Invited Talk 1: What do we want? And when do we want it? Alternative objectives and their implications for experimental design.
Maximilian Kasy
16:30 – 16:50 GMT
Invited Talk 2: Country-Scale Bandit Implementation for Targeted COVID-19 Testing
Hamsa Bastani
16:50 – 17:00 GMT
Q&A for invited talks 1&2
17:00 – 18:00 GMT
Poster Session 1
18:00 – 18:20 GMT
Break 1
18:20 – 18:30 GMT
Introduction of invited speakers 3, 4
18:30 – 18:50 GMT
Invited Talk 3: Modeling the Dynamics of Poverty
Rediet Abebe
18:50 – 19:10 GMT
Invited Talk 4: From Moderate Deviations Theory to Distributionally Robust Optimization: Learning from Correlated Data
Daniel Kuhn
19:10 – 19:20 GMT
Q&A for invited talks 3, 4
19:20 – 19:25 GMT
Contributed Talk 1: Fairness Under Partial Compliance
Jessica Dai, Zachary Lipton
19:25 – 19:30 GMT
Contributed Talk 2: Better Together? How Externalities of Size Complicate Notions of Solidarity and Actuarial Fairness
Kate Donahue, Solon Barocas
19:30 – 19:35 GMT
Contributed Talk 3: Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions
Amir Karimi, Bernhard Schölkopf, Isabel Valera
19:35 – 19:45 GMT
Q&A for contributed talks 1,2,3
19:45 – 20:20 GMT
Break 2
20:20 – 20:30 GMT
Introduction of invited speakers 5, 6, 7
20:30 – 20:50 GMT
Invited Talk 5: What are some hurdles before we can attempt machine learning? Examples from the Public and Non-Profit Sector
Mitsue Iwata
20:50 – 21:13 GMT
Invited Talk 6: Unexpected Consequences of Algorithm-in-the-Loop Decision Making
Yiling Chen
21:13 – 21:35 GMT
Invited Talk 7: Prediction Dynamics
Moritz Hardt
21:35 – 21:50 GMT
Q&A for invited talks 5, 6, 7
21:50 – 22:20 GMT
Break 3
22:20 – 22:25 GMT
Contributed Talk 4: Strategic Recourse in Linear Classification
Yatong Chen, Yang Liu
22:25 – 22:30 GMT
Contributed Talk 5: Performative Prediction in a Stateful World
Shlomi Hod
22:30 – 22:35 GMT
Contributed Talk 6: Do Offline Metrics Predict Online Performance in Recommender Systems?
Karl Krauth, Sarah Dean, Wenshuo Guo, Benjamin Recht, Michael Jordan
22:35 – 22:45 GMT
Q&A for contributed talks 4, 5, 6
22:45 – 23:45 GMT
Poster Session 2
23:45 – 23:50 GMT
Wrap up